Wednesday, 11 July 2018

It is getting close enough to take a look at the numbers

quote [ The next big test for the parties will be the August 7 special election in Ohio's 12th CD, where GOP state Sen. Troy Balderson is facing off against Democratic Franklin County Recorder Danny O'Connor in the northern Columbus suburbs. Overall, our November outlook is a Democratic gain of between 20 and 35 seats (again, Democrats need 23 for a majority). ]

I am still seeing the aprx. + 10 Dem advantage that has been evident in all of the special elections...the Aug. 7th race will be another test of that. Bottom line is that the House looks very doable, the Senate...a lot harder.

Before anybody gets too excited that the Dems are a shoe in I think it is time to remind everyone how we got here.


Bernie Sanders
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In the 2014 midterm elections only 37% of Americans voted. We now have a reactionary Congress in slavish support of wealthy campaign contributors, making devastating attacks against working families.

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1:25 PM - 9 Jul 2018

This is a midterm election Democrats especially young Democrats suck at voting in the midterms...don't count your chickens with this much history staring you in the face.

This is turning very interesting in the Senate.

Ted Cruz leads Beto O’Rourke by 5 points in Texas Senate race, UT/TT poll finds

And if the +10 keeps holding for the Dems Cruz loses.

See how your locals races are shaping up.


New polls show Democrats have a narrow path to a Senate majority
What the latest Senate polls tell us about the state of the 2018 midterm elections.


And of coarse the shenanigans have started.

Ahead of key Senate race, the Green Party loses its spot on the ballot

“It is clear that an out-of-state political firm with ties to the Republican Party and a history of misleading voters was hired to electioneer in Montana,” Montana Democratic Party Executive Director Nancy Keenan said in March. “However, the names of who bankrolled this extensive effort are being hidden from the people of Montana. Montanans demand truth in our elections, and we deserve to know if out-of-state dark money is trying to influence our democracy.”

As best as I can tell, this hasn’t been fully resolved, but it makes me wonder about efforts on the right to boost the Green Party this election cycle.


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[by bbqkink]
<-- Entry / Comment History

norok said @ 12:52pm GMT on 12th July
"Democrats especially young Democrats suck at voting in the midterms"

A keen and apt observation.

I'm also seeing a very poor strategy for 2018 Dems. It seems they keep funneling all their money into the most extreme Progressives (so much for money out of politics... ends justify the means much?). Locally, in the 6th district of GA, where they just set a record for the highest amount spent in any House race ever the D's lost with a spending advantage of $24mil to $4mil. They are trying it again with an out-in-out anti-gun candidate. All this because it was one of the few non-urban districts in GA to vote for Hillary so they think they have a shot. If they ran a more center-Left Dem they might have a shot but the party bosses in Washington continue to have delusions.


norok said @ 12:54pm GMT on 12th July
"Democrats especially young Democrats suck at voting in the midterms"

A keen and apt observation.

I'm also seeing a very poor strategy for 2018 Dems. It seems they keep funneling all their money into the most extreme Progressives (so much for money out of politics... ends justify the means much?). Locally, in the 6th district of GA, where they just set a record for the highest amount spent in any House race ever the D's lost with a spending advantage of $24mil to $4mil. They are trying it again with an out-in-out anti-gun candidate. All this because it was one of the few non-urban districts in GA to vote for Hillary so they think they have a shot.

Dems are refusing to heed the lesson of Connor Lamb's victory in Penn as a pro-gun, anti-Pelosi candidate. If they ran a more center-Left Dem they might have a shot but the party bosses in Washington continue to have delusions.



<-- Entry / Current Comment
norok said @ 12:52pm GMT on 12th July [Score:-1 Boring]
"Democrats especially young Democrats suck at voting in the midterms"

A keen and apt observation.

I'm also seeing a very poor strategy for 2018 Dems. It seems they keep funneling all their money into the most extreme Progressives (so much for money out of politics... ends justify the means much?). Locally, in the 6th district of GA, where they just set a record for the highest amount spent in any House race ever the D's lost with a spending advantage of $24mil to $4mil. They are trying it again with an out-in-out anti-gun candidate. All this because it was one of the few non-urban districts in GA to vote for Hillary so they think they have a shot.

Dems are refusing to heed the lesson of Connor Lamb's victory in Penn as a pro-gun, anti-Pelosi candidate. If they ran a more center-Left Dem they might have a shot but the party bosses in Washington continue to have delusions.




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